From the Minors to No. 1 in Pitcher Power Rankings
Paul Skenes' moment has arrived.
In the span of roughly one year, the 6-foot-6 right-hander has won a College World Series title, gone No. 1 in the Draft, made quick work of the Minor Leagues, put together a historic start to his MLB career and started the All-Star Game (while also making a splash on the red carpet). He looks like the NL Rookie of the Year Award favorite, and has clearly established himself as one of the game’s top arms.
His placement in the Starting Pitcher Power Rankings have followed that ascent. Skenes, who debuted with the Pirates on May 11, has now appeared in each of our past five polls. And this time? He’s all the way at the top.
Here are the latest Starting Pitcher Power Rankings, voted on by our MLB.com panel, which as always factored in career track record, 2024 performance and recent success.
1. Paul Skenes, Pirates (Last poll: 4)
Yes, he’s made only 11 Major League starts. But few pitchers in baseball history can boast Skenes’ combination of stuff and results at this early stage of their careers, especially at only 22 years old. His final start before the break was a statement: seven hitless innings with one walk and 11 strikeouts at Milwaukee. Add in a scoreless first inning in Tuesday’s All-Star Game against the top of a stacked AL lineup, and our voters were convinced.
2. Tarik Skubal, Tigers (1)
This is six straight top-two finishes for Skubal, who did nothing to lose his perch atop the rankings. The lefty posted a 2.08 ERA and 35-to-3 K-to-BB ratio over his final four first-half starts, then recorded a scoreless inning of his own in the All-Star Game. Skubal, the AL's ERA leader (2.41), will now have to show he can maintain those results over a full season.
3. Chris Sale, Braves (9)
While Skubal looks like the AL Cy Young Award favorite, Sale is stating a compelling case on the NL side. Finally fully healthy, the 35-year-old made the All-Star team for the first time since 2018 and finished the first half as the NL leader in wins (13) and FIP (2.23) and is second only to teammate Reynaldo López in ERA (2.70). The awards recognition would be overdue for a pitcher who has the second-most career Cy Young vote shares by a pitcher who has never won, narrowly behind Adam Wainwright.
4. Corbin Burnes, Orioles (2)
What a whirlwind it’s been for Burnes over the past few weeks. Most importantly, his twin daughters were born on June 28. Burnes also closed out a strong first half for the first-place Orioles, was named the starter for the AL in the All-Star Game and worked a scoreless first inning. That’s four straight All-Star nods for Burnes, who could easily add a second Cy Young Award to his trophy case at season’s end -- just as he enters free agency.
5. Garrett Crochet, White Sox (3)
There was one big question about Crochet on Opening Day: Will he really be able to hack it as an MLB starter? Consider that answered, and emphatically so. The All-Star lefty not only held his own in the first half -- he dominated. But now here come two more questions: First, how many more starts, and innings, does he have left this year, considering his injury history and minimal previous workloads. Second, will he finish the season with the White Sox or be traded to a contender?
6. Seth Lugo, Royals (5)
Kansas City signed Lugo in the offseason to stabilize its rotation, betting that his successful 2023 conversion from reliever to starter with the Padres was no fluke. Not only have the Royals been vindicated, but Lugo has taken his performance to another level at age 34, becoming a first-time All-Star. He went 11-4 with a 2.48 ERA in 20 first-half starts.
7. Zack Wheeler, Phillies (6)
Along with Skubal and Burnes, Wheeler is one of three to crack the top 10 in every edition of the Starting Pitcher Power Rankings this season. Since a rare hiccup against the Orioles on June 16, Wheeler has posted a 2.19 ERA and allowed a mere .535 OPS in four starts. In 120 outings since signing with Philly ahead of the 2020 season, Wheeler has exactly a 3.00 ERA.
8. Cole Ragans, Royals (not ranked)
While he hasn’t received a lot of love from our panel -- this is his second appearance in the top 10 -- Ragans has been stellar all year. The All-Star lefty has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 15 of his 20 starts, and he ranks third in MLB by FanGraphs' FIP-based pitching WAR formula. In a full season’s worth of work (32 starts, 188 1/3 innings) since coming to the Royals in last June’s Aroldis Chapman trade, Ragans has a 2.96 ERA and 2.60 FIP.
9. Tanner Houck, Red Sox (not ranked)
Giving up a home run to Shohei Ohtani -- as Houck did in the All-Star Game -- could never be described as a surprising turn of events. But it was in the sense that stinginess with the home run ball has been a major factor in Houck’s breakout season (2.54 ERA). The righty has allowed just five dingers in 117 regular-season innings, including only one with his splitter, the pitch Ohtani took deep on Tuesday.
10. Logan Gilbert, Mariners (not ranked)
Batters have only a .234 OBP against Gilbert, who also leads the Majors with a 0.87 WHIP and 132 1/3 innings pitched. The 6-foot-6 righty comes at hitters with elite extension off the mound, which only makes his five-pitch arsenal -- led by a 96 mph fastball -- play up. In eight starts since the beginning of June, he’s averaged seven innings per outing with a 2.10 ERA and 53-to-5 K-to-BB ratio.
Others receiving votes: Reynaldo López (Braves), Ranger Suárez (Phillies), George Kirby (Mariners), Dylan Cease (Padres), Cristopher Sánchez (Phillies), Max Fried (Braves), Justin Steele (Cubs), Ronel Blanco (Astros), Taj Bradley (Rays)
Voters: David Adler, Doug Gausepohl, Thomas Harrigan, Brent Maguire, Whitney McIntosh, Ricardo Montes de Oca, Arturo Pardavila, Andrew Simon