7 teams that should go all-in at Trade Deadline
The Angels listened to all of our Shohei Ohtani trade discourse, evaluated all of our fake proposals and decided to … go all-in! In swinging a deal for starter Lucas Giolito and reliever Reynaldo López, the Halos not only objected to the opinion that they should take advantage of their two-way unicorn’s trade value, but they made it clear they still intend to contend.
That kind of go-for-it gusto is what makes this time of year so fun. So let’s take a look at some other teams that arguably ought to take a big swing between now and Tuesday's Deadline. We’ll use the phrase “all-in,” even though that term will always be subject to what’s actually available. This particular trade market has talent, but, especially with Ohtani off the board, we figure to fall short of all-time blockbuster status.
Anyway, blockbuster or not, these seven teams need to do something that moves the needle. We’ll rank them in order of urgency.
1) Orioles
Last year, general manager Mike Elias promised this club was ready for “liftoff.” He was right in the sense that the O’s have now proven themselves AL East elite, but misleading in the sense that their big offseason acquisition was … Kyle Gibson.
While the O’s obviously have a ton of offensive assets that have their arrow pointed firmly upward, the non-Yankees and non-Red Sox portion of the AL East can never take opportunities to truly command the division (and, by extension, the AL) for granted. The O’s already landed Shintaro Fujinami’s intriguing raw stuff, but starting pitching -- preferably non-rentals -- figures to be the focus, and the O’s should not be shy about bidding on it.
Who they could land: Post-Giolito, the market still has a a few rentals (or potential rentals) like Marcus Stroman (opt-out), Eduardo Rodriguez (opt-out), Jack Flaherty, Jordan Montgomery, etc. On the more controllable front, we already know Justin Verlander looks good in orange. Just sayin’. The Orioles could also get creative. What if, for instance, there was a deal to be made with a Mariners team that has strength in controllable starting with the young likes of George Kirby and Logan Gilbert but desperately needs controllable bats? Ding, ding!
Who they’d have to trade away: There is not a team better-situated to command this Deadline, should they choose. It seems a stretch to think that Jackson Holliday, the No. 1 prospect in the game per MLB Pipeline, would move, and the O’s wouldn’t want to touch their young Major Leaguers. But the infield glut could make the O’s No. 5 prospect Joey Ortiz movable, No. 4 prospect Heston Kjerstad is capable of being a headline piece in a swap and the O’s have a deep system to work with.
2) Rays
Remember all that stuff we said about the Orioles and the AL East and seizing the moment? Yeah, same thing here.
They are similar to the O’s in their ability to take on salary and deal from deep prospect stashes. The Rays take on guys with poor injury history and/or iffy mechanics and turn them into human out machines, then have to turn to other options when those guys inevitably get hurt. The rash of starting injuries this year makes the Rays a candidate to make an impact move for an impact arm.
Who they could land: Take the same starting list from the O’s and apply it to the Rays, who can and should also be in the mix for bullpen arms that can make a difference. Because this is the Rays we’re talking about, it’s hard to guess who those arms might be, as they could probably turn you or me into a high-leverage reliever. What if they got their hands on Cardinals flamethrower Jordan Hicks?
Who they’d have to trade away: The Rays have four guys on MLB Pipeline’s Top 100 -- infielders Junior Caminero, Carson Williams, Curtis Mead and Kyle Manzardo (who are actually all in the top 37). A truly “all-in” approach might require parting with one or more, though the Rays could use their depth in that area to move someone like Osleivis Basabe in a meaningful deal.
3) Rangers
Everything’s bigger in Texas … including this Trade Deadline! You could also put the rival Astros on this list, but they don’t have as much to prove as this rising Rangers club. New Houston GM Dana Brown does not figure to be shy in this swap period, and the Rangers and GM Chris Young better not be shy, either.
Young got the memo with the Aroldis Chapman deal. Now, the Rangers need to further augment a bullpen full of moving parts and also upgrade a rotation that is, of course, without purported ace Jacob deGrom and has All-Star Nathan Eovaldi experiencing a midseason velo decline. Oh, and if they’re up for upgrading their DH situation, too, all the better. The Rangers aren’t some young, frisky club moving up the standings this season. They have a lot of older pieces, including their 68-year-old skipper Bruce Bochy. So there’s no time like the present.
Who they could land: Hate to keep regurgitating the same list of starters, but, well, lots of teams need to be targeting that list, the Rangers included.
Who they’d have to trade away: Jack Leiter, their 2022 first-round pick, is a fascinating figure, given his pedigree and talent and, on the flip side, his placement this year on the developmental list to iron out his mechanics. He’d probably still have value in a big swap. The Rangers’ system is deep in pitching and outfielders, and second-base/third-base prospect Justin Foscue is blocked at the big league level.
4) Dodgers
The Dodgers were curiously quiet last offseason, and that had a lot of people expecting them to take a step back in the NL West. Oops.
Trades for Lance Lynn, Joe Kelly, Amed Rosario and Kiké Hernandez make it clear the Dodgers share our line of thinking about them. The 2020 World Series title in a shortened season is an insufficient legacy for the Andrew Friedman regime, and Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman ain’t getting any younger. So let’s go! Maybe they’ve done all the heavy lifting already, but Lynn alone might not be enough of an upgrade to a starting staff with an ERA north of 6 in July.
Who they could land: We listed some starters earlier. Same dudes here.
Who they’d have to trade away: Because this is the Dodgers we’re talking about, there’s always something of value in the pipeline. But they also have some young guys who have played in the big leagues this season -- such as Emmet Sheehan and Michael Busch -- who could potentially be parlayed for more established talent.
5) Blue Jays
Toronto’s inclusion here is little more questionable than the AL East rival Orioles and Rays, because the Blue Jays obviously haven’t taken that big, long-predicted step to the top of the division. It has been a puzzling team, in that regard, because there is obviously massive talent in the lineup, and the Blue Jays have also taken some massive swings on the trade front in recent years for Matt Chapman, Daulton Varsho and José Berríos. Given the overall inconsistency of this club and the current standing, would they really go down that road again? Perhaps not.
But this club has the offensive pieces to get as hot as anybody in October, and Chapman’s impending free agency and the difficulty of keeping a strong core together for the long haul underscores the need to take every playoff opportunity as precious. The Blue Jays still have one, so they should still go for it in a meaningful way.
Who they could land: Stop us if you’ve heard this one before, but the Blue Jays need arms in the rotation and bullpen. Toronto traded Stroman away at the 2019 Deadline, and, um, he would help, wouldn’t he?!
Who they’d have to trade away: This is where it gets dicey, because that aforementioned past aggressiveness did the farm system no favors. But the Blue Jays still have a lot of intriguing pieces like lefties Ricky Tiedemann and Brandon Barriera, righty Yosver Zulueta and infielders Addison Barger and Orelvis Martinez.
6) Phillies
Spoiler: They’re not catching the Braves. But you don’t have to go deep into baseball (or Phillies) history to see the value of grabbing even the last playoff spot. With Aaron Nola nearing free agency, top pitching prospect Andrew Painter having just had Tommy John and Bryce Harper, J.T. Realmuto, Kyle Schwarber, Trea Turner, Nick Castellanos and Zack Wheeler all in their 30s, why wouldn’t the Phillies be feeling some urgency?
Then, of course, there’s that whole “falling two wins shy of a title last year” thing …
Who they could land: Again, the starting-pitching list applies here. Position-player-wise, Harper’s recent move to first, paired with Schwarber’s move to DH, provides opportunity to make an impact move in the outfield. Perhaps that could mean Cody Bellinger, though the Phillies’ greater need is for a right-handed bat, such as Randal Grichuk. Jeimer Candelario would be an interesting candidate to platoon with Alec Bohm at third.
7) Padres
Hey, maybe the Padres should be sellers. The record pretty much says so. But as of this writing, they have the third-best run differential in the National League. All they have to do is get the last possible NL Wild Card spot, and they’d be running Blake Snell, Joe Musgrove and Yu Darvish out there in a short series while fielding Juan Soto, Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado, Xander Bogaerts, etc.
The Padres have already spent and sacrificed too much to turn back now. They are already all-in. And while there is an argument, certainly, for recouping some of the Soto cost now and taking advantage of what could be a frothy market for Snell and Josh Hader, there is also an argument that, with Snell and Hader potentially departing and Soto so close to free agency, their best opportunity to win the whole darn thing is still here in 2023.
(Of course, given all we’ve seen so far, the above is half-hearted enough to only land the Padres in the last spot on this list.)
Who they could land: Honestly, even if the Padres “buy,” it might be more on the modest side -- middle relief help and/or a bench bat. But on a Friars team that’s struggled to generate much non-Soto offense from the left-hand side of the plate, Bellinger would be a boost.
Who they’d have to trade away: This farm system has obviously taken some big hits, but it does have four Top 100 Prospects, should A.J. Preller decide to do something truly bold (Bellinger alone would not qualify). Note that the Padres’ top prospect, Jackson Merrill, is a shortstop, which is not exactly a need on the big league club at the moment.