Burns sits atop Reds' newest Top 30 Prospects list

August 14th, 2024

CINCINNATI -- Starting pitcher went straight from being the No. 2 pick in the Draft to the new No. 1 prospect in the Reds organization.

MLB Pipeline revealed its midseason re-ranking of each club's Top 30 prospects and the overall Top 100. Changes in performance each season and the addition of fresh talent from last month's Draft provide an opportunity to take stock of the overall big picture.

Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com compiled the Reds' Top 30 Prospect list while Mayo and colleagues Jim Callis and Sam Dykstra collaborated on MLB Pipeline's Top 100.

Team Top 30 Prospects lists:
ALE: BAL | BOS | NYY | TB | TOR
ALC: CLE | CWS | DET | KC | MIN
ALW: HOU | LAA | OAK | SEA | TEX
NLE: ATL | MIA | NYM | PHI | WSH
NLC: CHC | CIN | MIL | PIT | STL
NLW: AZ | COL | LAD | SD | SF

Cincinnati relies heavily on the young talent in its system to fill the Major League roster. Elly De La Cruz, Hunter Greene, Nick Lodolo, Matt McLain and Noelvi Marte are among recent higher ranked prospects to reach the big leagues and contribute in recent years.

More from MLB Pipeline:
Top 100 prospects | Stats | Video | Podcast | Complete coverage

Now fans can get better acquainted with who might be next.

Here’s a look at the Reds top prospects:

  1. Chase Burns, RHP (MLB No. 24)
  2. Rhett Lowder, RHP (MLB No. 35)
  3. Edwin Arroyo, SS (MLB No. 72)
  4. Sal Stewart, 3B (MLB No. 85)
  5. Cam Collier, 3B

Biggest jump/fall

Here are the players whose ranks changed the most from the preseason list:

Jump: Sammy Stafura, SS (Preseason: 15 | Midseason: 9)
Taken out of high school in the second round of the 2023 Draft and given a $2.5 million over-slot bonus, Stafura struggled offensively last summer in the ACL, but showed his strong speed and defensive skills. This season, the 19-year-old is now showing the hitting skills that helped make him such a high-round selection. Right-handed starting pitcher Julian Aguiar also jumped six spots in the rankings from No. 17 to No. 11 and is currently at Triple-A Louisville.

Fall: Lyon Richardson, RHP (Preseason: 14 | Midseason: 27)
At Louisville, Richardson struggled with his command and had a high walk rate throughout the first half before putting together some better starts in July. Following two brief big league callups last month, the Reds now have the 24-year-old working out of the Triple-A bullpen, and reports say he has appeared comfortable in that role.

New to the list

Here are the players added to the Top 30 from outside the organization:

No. 1: Burns, RHP (No. 2 overall pick in 2024 Draft)
No. 6: Tyson Lewis, SS (No. 51 pick)
No. 13: Luke Holman, RHP (No. 71 pick)
No. 14: Mike Sirota, OF (third-round pick)
No. 21: Peyton Stovall, 2B (fourth-round pick)
No. 22: Tristan Smith, LHP (fifth-round pick)
No. 30: Kyle Henley, OF (14th-round pick in 2023)

Best tools

Players are graded on a 20-80 scouting scale for future tools -- 20-30 is well below average, 40 is below average, 50 is average, 60 is above average and 70-80 is well above average. Players in parentheses have the same grade.

Hit: 55 -- Sal Stewart (Ricardo Cabrera, Peyton Stovall)
Power: 55 -- Rece Hinds
Run: 70 -- Kyle Henley
Arm: 65 -- Rece Hinds
Defense: 60 -- Edwin Arroyo (Kyle Henley)
Fastball: 65 -- Chase Burns (Connor Phillips, Zach Maxwell)
Curveball: 60 – Chase Burns (Cole Schoenwetter)
Slider: 70 -- Chase Burns
Changeup: 60 -- Rhett Lowder
Control: 65 -- Rhett Lowder (Cole Schoenwetter)
Slider: 60 -- Chase Petty
Changeup: 60 -- Rhett Lowder
Control: 65 -- Rhett Lowder