5 NL West predictions for the home stretch

August 29th, 2019

It’s not being presumptuous to say that the National League West race appears pretty much done and dusted, but that doesn’t mean we know everything that’s going to happen down the stretch. Everybody has something to play for, be it a Wild Card spot or development for next year.

As the season’s final four weeks approach, here’s one prediction for every team in the division.

D-backs: Something to play for in the season’s final week

This has been a yo-yo team all year, bouncing between hot and cold, seeming like a contender one week and appearing to fade the next. But they’ve been on another little surge lately, and the schedule in September looks very friendly.

After they play the Dodgers this weekend, the D-backs have two more series remaining in 2019 against teams with winning records -- four games at the Mets, and three at home against St. Louis. Aside from that, it’s a steady diet of teams that are no longer in the hunt. The D-backs are not a bad team -- they have the NL’s sixth-best run differential -- and 12 of their final 15 games are at home. If you’re looking for a surprise team down the stretch, Phoenix is a good place to look.

Dodgers: will establish himself as The Guy in the eighth inning

This may be cheating a little bit, because Kelly has been dealing for quite a while now. He has a 1.50 ERA, 25 Ks, and 6 walks in 18 innings since the start of July. And lately, he’s even started getting those late-inning opportunities again. Kelly has holds in each of his past three appearances, and has appeared in the eighth inning in five of his past 11.

So, again, maybe this is cheating a bit. But it’s a huge question, and getting Kelly to a place where he’s consistently the main guy setting up Kenley Jansen would be a huge development for the presumptive division champs.

Giants: Bruce Bochy will finish his last season with a winning record

After making it as high as two games over .500 at the Trade Deadline, the Giants have found August to be unkind. They’re 10-14, falling from two games out in the NL Wild Card chase to six. There are good signs lately, though. is healthy and hot again. started slow after returning from the injured list, but he is showing signs of life. should provide a spark. And and look strong at the front of the rotation.

The Giants' schedule is tough, and the standings are foreboding. It’s probably asking too much to get back seriously into contention. But getting back over .500 is in play, and it’s a worthwhile goal for the future Hall of Famer.

Padres: September will be tough, but worth it in the long run

It’s no slight to San Diego to say that the season’s final month could be very trying. is likely approaching an innings limit. Luis Urias is still finding his way at the plate in the Majors. Fernando Tatis Jr. is out for the year. may be fatiguing as he’s asked to play more than 140 games for the first time.

But all of the things that will make the end of 2019 tough will make '20 brighter. Urias’ future is still extremely promising. So is Paddack’s. isn’t starting, but he’s been dominant out of the ‘pen. will get extremely valuable reps.

The schedule looks stout and the roster is not at full strength. But it will be a learning, growing experience for an organization whose trajectory is steeply upward.

Rockies: Finish feeling very good about the right side of their 2020 infield

We know the Rox will feel good about the left side of that infield -- and are both having the kinds of years that garner NL MVP Award consideration on a winning team. But the right side? That looked a little unsettled early in the year. Not so much lately. raked in July and mashed in August. He’s got a good chance to do one or both in September. Daniel Murphy has scuffled a bit lately, but overall he’s hit like himself since bottoming out in late May. Colorado has questions in its outfield, in its bullpen, and unexpectedly in its rotation. But the infield will be something to smile about – both sides of the infield.