5 pitchers who are due for a Cy Young
The Cy Young Award results, as you might have heard, were announced Wednesday night, and your winners, in what was hardly a surprise, were Houston’s Justin Verlander and Miami’s Sandy Alcantara. It was Verlander’s third Cy Young Award and Alcantara’s first -- the first Cy Young for that Marlins franchise.
Alcantara joins Verlander on the legendary list of men who have won a Cy Young Award, a list that doesn’t include some of the greatest pitchers in recent baseball vintage, including Hall of Famers Nolan Ryan and Mike Mussina. And it drops Alcantara from the list of outstanding active pitchers who have never won one.
Who’s left on that list? Only some of the best pitchers on earth. With a nod to the likes of Chris Sale and Adam Wainwright, two legends who have never won a Cy Young (and probably won’t at this point), here’s a look at the five best current pitchers without a Cy Young … who appear poised to still win one.
Gerrit Cole, RHP, Yankees
Best Finish: Second place, 2021
Cole has finished in the top five on five occasions and was second twice, and at the very least, he’s always going to make an excellent case for himself by pitching so many innings in bulk. Heck, he pitched 73 innings in 2020! (That’s more innings than Jacob deGrom threw this year.) He’s certainly going to have plenty more opportunities to make a run at the award, but he is now even more clearly on the wrong side of 30, a ripe old 32 years old. He may be getting further away: His ERA+ in 2021 was 111, still good, of course, but the lowest it has been since he was a Pirate.
Aaron Nola, RHP, Phillies
Best Finish: Third place, 2018
Nola has been underappreciated so long that calling him underappreciated is starting to feel overappreciated, if you know what we mean. His advantage is wrapped up in the bulk innings he provides; he made it over 200 innings for the third time of his career in 2022. He finished strong, too, carrying a perfect game into the seventh inning against the Astros during the final series of the year, the one where the Phillies would clinch their first playoff spot since 2011. He was good, if not quite dominant, in the postseason, but he did get a spotlight on himself that had been lacking for most of his career. Maybe people will start appreciating him the correct amount in 2023, for once, and it gets him more Cy Young votes than he has received in the past.
Zack Wheeler, RHP, Phillies
Best Finish: Second place, 2021
The great case for Wheeler in 2021 was not just his effectiveness -- a 2.78 ERA, a 5.37 K/BB ratio -- but the sheer number of innings he threw: 213 1/3. He was down 60 innings in 2022, which is why he didn’t finish anywhere near second even though he was nearly as good on a rate basis. The reason for concern heading into 2023 is that he seemed to run out of gas in the playoffs, though he did have a finishing kick in the World Series. He’s entering his age-33 season, which makes him a little older than you might realize, but his top-end stuff is as good as any pitcher’s in baseball.
Julio Urías, LHP, Dodgers
Best Finish: Third place, 2022
Urías has been around a lot longer than you realize, especially considering he’s still only 26 years old. The 2023 season will be his eighth big league season -- he finally hits free agency after 2023 if the Dodgers don’t extend him -- but he never earned any Cy Young votes until 2021, when he finished seventh. He made a big step forward this year as the ace of the best staff in baseball, and now he’s pitching for a new contract. And, seriously, he’s 26 years old. If he had just been called up, you’d call him one of the most exciting prospects in baseball. Sure feels like he’s going to win one of these someday, and probably pretty soon.
Yu Darvish, RHP, Padres
Best Finish: Second place, 2020
Darvish has been around a lot longer than you probably realize he has been. He finished second in Cy Young voting in Texas way back in 2013 and then did it again with the Cubs in 2020. He was brought over to San Diego in 2021 to become the ace, but he didn’t really pitch like one until 2022, putting together his best full season (not including 2020) since that 2013 season. He’s getting up there in age, though: He’ll be 37 in August, and while he has been healthy the last four years, he didn’t exactly have a history of being able to stay on the field until 2019. Playing in San Diego helps: Not only does the stadium help out the ERA, but he wins games -- his 16 in 2022 was his highest since his rookie year in 2012.
Honorable mentions: Max Fried, LHP, Braves; Carlos Rodón, LHP, free agent; Kevin Gausman, RHP, Blue Jays; Walker Buehler, RHP, Dodgers