LIVE: Draft Day 3 round-by-round analysis

23 minutes ago

Three-hundred and fifteen players were selected over the first two days of the 2024 MLB Draft. On Tuesday, 300 more players will hear their names as the Draft concludes with Rounds 11-20, which are being streamed live in the video atop this article.

As a reminder, the late rounds can be more than just opportunities to fill out a farm system. This year’s All-Stars Matt Strahm (2012, 21st round), Kirby Yates (2005, 26th round) and Seth Lugo (2011, 34th round) were all taken after the 10th round when drafted. Even Hall of Famers Andre Dawson (1975, 11th), Ryne Sandberg (1978, 20th) and Jim Thome (1989, 13th) and future member of Cooperstown Albert Pujols (1999, 13th) entered pro ball as late picks, giving hope to every player selected on Day 3.

Follow along here as we break down the most notable picks from Day 3.

ROUND 11

Pick 1 (316th overall), Athletics: Kyle Robinson, RHP, Texas Tech (No. 182)
Oakland gets the day going with a ranked prospect right out of the gate in the Red Raiders right-hander. Robinson posted a 5.09 ERA with 79 strikeouts in 76 innings this spring in his first season as a full-time starter on campus. He lacks fastball velo and life but stands out most for a plus changeup that fades well and gets whiffs out of the zone.

Pick 7 (322nd overall), Angels: Trey Gregory-Alford, RHP, Coronado (CO) HS (No. 105)
The Halos take a bit of a swing here in taking the Colorado high-schooler, hoping they can use savings from taking two college seniors and a grad student in Rounds 8-10 to add Gregory-Alford. The 6-foot-5 hurler, who just turned 18 in May, can touch 97 mph with his fastball and flashes a decent slider. He’s a long-term project with upside, given his size and current fastball velo.

Pick 23 (338th overall), Twins: Michael Carpenter, LHP, Madison (WI) College (unranked)
Named the NJCAA Division II pitcher of the year, Carpenter held a 45-inning scoreless streak at one point this spring and finished with a 1.03 ERA and 111 strikeouts in 78 1/3 frames. His 89-93 mph fastball plays up with some deception, and he’ll bring a curveball and changeup around the 80 mph mark.

Pick 30 (345th overall), Rangers: Dalton Pence, LHP, North Carolina (unranked)
Tommy John surgery wrecked Pence’s early years with the Tar Heels, but he settled in nicely as the team’s closer this spring, earning eight saves while posting a 2.45 ERA with 74 strikeouts in 58 2/3 innings. He relies heavily on his 91-95 mph fastball due to its tremendous carry, but continued health and his slider and changeup could get him chances to start in the Texas system.

ROUND 12

Pick 1 (346th overall), Athletics: Ali Camarillo, SS, Texas A&M (No. 246)
Another Top 250 talent heads to Oakland at the top of Day 3. Camarillo is considered a plus defensive shortstop with impressive actions, hands, range and arm strength, and that will drive his profile toward The Show. He is highly unlikely to hit for power (one homer in 2024) and will need to improve his overall contact rate to improve his chances of being a regular.

Pick 12 (357th overall), Red Sox: Brady Tygart, RHP, Arkansas (No. 181)
Tygart didn’t throw more than 60 innings in any of his three seasons on campus, in part due to injuries, including a shoulder problem late in 2024. At his best, he’ll show two above-average breaking pitches in his high-spin curveball and sweeping slider, and those helped him fan 69 in 59 ⅓ innings this year. He could use more velo on his 90-93 mph fastball, but should he sign with Boston, the first priority will be getting him on the mound consistently.

Pick 13 (358th overall), Giants: Zander Darby, 1B/3B, UC Santa Barbara (No. 151)
A solid performance in the Cape Cod League last summer (.292/.404/.407) helped solidify Darby’s place on the radar, but he took some steps back with his chase and whiff rates in 2024, causing his drop to this spot. He has raw power that shows up in batting practice, and San Francisco will aim to get that to translate in games, especially if he needs to stick to first base as he did this past season with the Gauchos.

Pick 22 (367th overall), Blue Jays: Carson Messina, RHP, Summerville (SC) HS (No. 222)
South Carolina catcher Cole Messina went in the third round to the Rockies. His younger brother – a Gamecocks recruit – goes nine rounds later to Toronto. The Jays hope to add the 6-foot-2 hurler’s 92-95 mph fastball and low-80s wipeout curveball – both of which could be nice bat-missing pitches at the next level – and they’ll have to work on his high-effort delivery.

ROUND 13

Pick 1 (376th overall), Athletics: Riley Huge, LHP, Winthrop (unranked)
If you’ve heard of Huge, it’s because of his March 2 outing against Maine in which he struck out 20 over just 7 2/3 innings. He finished fourth in Division I with a 15.0 K/9, despite having an 89-92 mph fastball and average curveball.

Pick 4 (379th overall), White Sox: Pierce George, RHP, Alabama (unranked)
On pure stuff, George has one of the most electric arms in this class. His fastball averages around 99 mph and touches 102. His sharp upper-80s slider generated a miss rate north of 70 percent between Alabama and the Cape this year. But he really struggles to throw strikes (11 walks in 11 1/3 innings this spring), and that has kept him from meeting what could otherwise be a considerable closer ceiling.

Pick 17 (392nd overall), Cubs: Evan Aschenbeck, LHP, Texas A&M (unranked)
Aschenbeck led Division I with a 1.78 ERA and notched 10 saves over 32 appearances for the Aggies this spring. He primarily makes his arsenal work with deception, showing an 88-92 mph fastball, low-80s slider and upper-70s changeup.

Pick 19 (394th overall), Marlins: Cody Schrier, SS, UCLA (No. 138)
Ranked as the No. 63 Draft prospect in the 2021 Draft class, Schrier had a strong commitment to UCLA that scared off clubs. A labrum injury in his sophomore year has seemingly affected him ever since, and he’s coming off a rough junior campaign in which he hit just .242 with a .674 OPS in 44 games. When fully healthy, Schrier has average tools across the board and has a shot to stick at shortstop with a strong baseball IQ.