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¿Podrá Altuve alcanzar a las leyendas de Astros en el bateo?
¿Podrá Altuve alcanzar a las leyendas de Astros en el bateo?
DETROIT -- Craig Biggio y Jeff Bagwell, ambos miembros del Salón de la Fama de Grandes Ligas, ocupan el primero y segundo lugares en la mayoría de las estadísticas ofensivas de todos los tiempos de los Astros – incluidos juegos disputados, turnos al bate, carreras anotadas, imparables, dobles, carreras producidas, extrabases, bases por bolas y ponches. Biggio es tercero, detrás de Bagwell y Lance Berkman, en cuadrangulares.
De manera lenta pero segura, el venezolano José Altuve está escalando en los rangos de Houston, frecuentemente alcanzando y superando hitos, tales como haber llegado a 300 bases robadas el 4 de mayo. Solamente el dominicano César Cedeño (487) y Biggio (414) tienen más estafadas con los Siderales.
“Siempre es bueno lograr un hito como ése”, declaró Altuve. “Creo que éste no es el mejor momento para estar pensando en estadísticas personales, porque estamos tratando de ganar juegos y ganar algo de terreno que perdimos al principio (de la campaña. Me siento bien contento y agradecido con esta clase de cosas”.
Ahora que Altuve ha firmado una extensión de contrato de cinco años que lo mantendrá con los Astros hasta la temporada del 2029 (cumplirá 39 primaveras ese año), evaluemos sus probabilidades de superar a Bagwell y Biggio en algunos de los récords de bateo del club:
Juegos
Biggio, 2,850
Bagwell, 2,150
José “Cheo” Cruz, 1,870
Altuve, 1,704
El análisis: Alcanzar a Biggio, quien jugó 20 temporadas en Houston y estuvo en la lista de lesionados una sola vez, será una tarea bastante difícil, sino es que imposible. Altuve probablemente supere a Cruz y Bagwell en los próximos años, pero si ve acción en 100 juegos más en el 2024 y en cada partido del 2025 al 2029, todavía le faltarían 238 compromisos para empatar el total de Biggio. Altuve tendría que jugar más allá de sus 40 años de edad para igualar a Biggio.
Carreras Anotadas
Biggio, 1,844
Bagwell, 1,517
Altuve, 1,087
El análisis: Altuve tenía 1,062 careras anotadas antes de empezar la campaña. Por lo tanto, si promedia 100 anotadas por año del 2024 al 2029 lo dejaría con 1,687, con algo de trabajo por hacer para alcanzar a Biggio. Altuve anotó 103 carreras en el 2022 y 117 en el 2021 – sus más recientes campañas en salud – y ha tenido un gran arranque de temporada este año, por lo que no lo descarten. A pesar de ello, luce poco probable.
Hits
Biggio, 3,060
Bagwell, 2,314
Altuve, 2,096
El análisis: Cuando Altuve firmó su extensión para pasar básicamente toda su carrera en Houston, le dio una oportunidad legítima de unirse a Biggio y llegar a los 3,000 hits con los Astros. Luce bien posible. El venezolano necesitaría promediar 158 indiscutibles del 2024 al 2029 para lograr la hazaña.
Dobles
Biggio, 668
Bagwell, 488
Altuve, 409
El análisis: Biggio tenía la mayor cantidad de dobles de cualquier bateador derecho en la historia del béisbol cuando se retiró, una marca que luego fue superada por el dominicano Albert Pujols. Altuve necesitaría acelerar un poco el paso en ese departamento y quizás jugar uno o dos años más después de su actual contrato – pero sus probabilidades de alcanzar a Biggio lucen escasas. El oriundo de Maracay probablemente rebase a Bagwell en los próximos dos años.
El análisis: Altuve ha estado más activo en las bases en los últimos tres años (2022-2024) en comparación sus tres temporadas anteriores, pero acumular 187 bases robadas más y alcanzar a Cedeño representaría un promedio de casi 32 estafadas por campaña. Sin embargo, el venezolano podría alcanzar a Biggio si promedia 21 robos del 2024 al 2029.